Last week saw those who put faith in Manchester City assets reap the rewards of bountiful gains. The likes of Aguero (20pts) Mahrez (17pts) Jesus (10pts) and De Bryune (9pts) destroyed Aston Villa by putting 6 past them.
This was a huge for those who focus on match-ups that include a strong attack up against a weak defense.
Before GW22 Aston Villa had the worst XG conceded (11.55) in the whole league over the last 5 games while Manchester City was only behind Liverpool in expected goals over the same period (9.68). A great strategy to shoot up the ranks is to target these kind of matchups. Lets have a look to see if we can find any good ones for gameweek 23...
FPLMERCH PLAYERS TO TARGET
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (5.9m) v West Ham (A)
While West Ham have started to improve under Moyes, they are still leaky at the back. Over the last two home games they have a XGC of 3.55, that's bottom 5 in the league. The Hammers also have key assets injured, Ryan Fredericks and more importantly Lucadz Fabianski are out until next month, likely leaving substitute goalkeeper David Martin between the sticks who previously conceded 6 goals in his last 3 games before getting injured himself.
Similarly Everton and more importantly DCL has been on a upward trajectory since the arrival of Anchelotti. Incredibly Everton rank 1st for total shots in the last 4 games (64) ahead of Man City (60) and Liverpool (57). They are also ranked second for shots inside the box (44) with only Liverpool shooting one more time in the box than their merseyside rivals.
DCL has had 14 shots in the box over the last 4 (2nd most) and is joint top of the forward charts with shots on target (8) scoring 3. Not only is DCL an avid goalscorer he is also a creator with an XA of 1.16 (top 3). With 0 assists over those games he is due an assist for sure.
DCL is a great enabler for expensive Liverpool assets ready for GW 24 so not only is he a great one week punt but also an investment for the rest of this month.
Todd Cantwell (4.9m) v Bournemouth (H)
Todd is up against a poor Bournemouth side who has just lost 0-3 to Watford. Having seen the game you can tell how something is not quite right at the Cherries and things don't look to be getting any better.
Bournemouth have conceded 10 goals in the last 4 games!! WOW.
They have also conceded 65 shots in the last 4 games with 41 in the box, ranking them 2nd worst in the league.
Meanwhile Cantwell is in the top 10 for shots in the box in the last 4 Gameweeks (7).
7 out of 8 of Cantwell's returns has come from Homes this season, 3 out of 4 of them being double digit hauls.
I know Cantwell isn't captain material, but this is more of a reminder to make sure he is placed firmly in your lineup this week.
Tammy Abraham (7.8m) v Newcastle (A)
This one might seem like a difficult one to bring in as he has probably burned you like he did me, but hear me out...
The Newcastle squad is DEAD. They are all dead, all of them. Out of a squad of 30 players, 14 of them are currently injured with 5 coming from defense. Pretty much all their starting defensive line is injured.
Statistically Newcastle are dead worst for XGC (9.98) over the last 4 conceding 70 shots (2nd worst), 39 of those inside the box.
Don't let the 1-1 draw at Wolves cover your eyes with rose tinted glasses. Newcastle were still very poor in that game conceding 10 shots with 4 on target and a total XGC of 2.06. It's fair to say they were slightly lucky to come away with just a 1-1 draw.
Chelsea on the other hand are in the top half of attacking statistics including Shots (4th) Shots in box (3rd) and XG (7th)
Tammy has had a little resurgence since his mid season blip, scoring 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 4 games. He is a feature piece in Lampard's team sheet and will be the focal point in this game at the weekend.
Go grab yourself a Don't Drink and FPL glass and use code GW23 to get yourself a nice 10% discount as a thank you for reading my ramblings. All the best in this up and coming Gameweek... Keep grafting!!