FPL Gameweek 25 preview

Here we’ll preview gameweek 25 game-by-game, mulling over recent stats to consider which team is likely to have the advantage.

 

We’ll also provide a player pick for each fixture – someone we think could haul in the upcoming gameweek.

 

Let’s start by looking at the two teams who will enjoy a double gameweek in 25 – Leeds and Southampton. For anyone looking to bring in a player this week, players from these two teams should be at the forefront of your thinking.

Leeds vs Wolves (A) and Southampton (H)



Leeds briefly threatened to mount a remarkable comeback in GW24, as they scored two late goals to briefly worry Arsenal in a 4-2 defeat. Raphinha (5.4m) picked up another assist, making it five straight matches with a return for the mazy Brazilian. His corner for Struijk’s goal underlines how his set piece responsibilities further boosts his FPL credentials.

 

Patrick Bamford (6.9m) is of course another brilliant option for Leeds’ double gameweek. The forward is guaranteed to start and is also guaranteed to be at the centre of anything Leeds do in the opposition’s penalty box. For those who still have a triple captaincy chip, both Bamford and Raphinha have the potential to richly reward managers who bestow faith on them this week.

 

In terms of their opposition this GW, Wolves seem to have turned a corner of late. They are now unbeaten in three after beating Southampton 2-1 last week. However, Southampton are certainly a team to target with Leeds assets. The Saints have lost six in a row and they look very vulnerable at present.

 

Southampton right-back Kyle Walker-Peters is ruled out due to injury, so Jack Harrison (5.4m) could be another decent shout for GW25. Harrison will line up on the left, with James Ward-Prowse likely to be the man tasked with dealing with the ex-Manchester City man. Stuart Dallas (5.0m) deserves an honourable mention, but look to get in at least one of Bamford or Raphinha should you not own them.

 

Player pick – Raphinha

 

 

Southampton vs Chelsea (H) and Leeds (A)

 

As mentioned earlier, Southampton are really struggling at present. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men have lost six in a row and they will be desperate to arrest the slide in this double gameweek. That seems unlikely to happen on Saturday however, as the Saints host a Chelsea side who are yet to be beaten under their new boss Thomas Tuchel.

 

As the table below shows, no team have a higher xGC than Southampton over the past three gameweeks. It seems unwise to opt for any Saints’ defensive assets, even with two fixtures to look forward to. Up against a resurgent Chelsea and a free-scoring Leeds, it seems unlikely that there will be any clean sheet returns coming their way.

 

It is further up the pitch where Southampton become more attractive, particularly as they come up against a Leeds side who have been notoriously open at the back all season. Danny Ings (8.5m) is the clear choice when it comes to Southampton, especially after he scored for the first time since GW17 in their defeat to Wolves last time out.

 

James Ward-Prowse is always a threat on set pieces, having scored five this season. At 6.0m the midfielder would be a decent punt, but his appeal is probably reduced if, as expected, he lines up at right-back with Kyle Walker-Peters ruled out.

 

Player pick – Danny Ings

 





Burnley vs West Brom

Saturday 20th February 15:00

 

Burnley are now unbeaten in three after they shared a 1-1 draw with relegation threatened Fulham last time out. They have lost just twice at Turf Moor this season to teams currently outside the top four, so expect a comfortable home win this weekend.

 

Ben Mee (5.1m) is back following a concussion injury, so he will return straight to the starting line-up ahead of Kevin Long. Sean Dyche is going to have to get creative with his midfield though, with both Johan Berg Gudmundsson and Robbie Brady doubts ahead of kick-off.

 

Burnley’s defensive assets are always a good option to go for, and with the return of Ben Mee this is again the case for GW25. These two shared a goalless draw earlier in the season and a repeat scoreline would be no surprise here. Any of Nick Pope, Ben Mee, James Tarkowski and Charlie Taylor are great picks in GW25, but Matt Lowton (4.5m) is perhaps the pick of the bunch after his wondergoal in GW25 against Palace.

 

Player pick – Matt Lowton

 

Liverpool vs Everton

Saturday 20th February 17:30

Liverpool should come into this one with a renewed sense of confidence after their impressive 2-0 win against RB Leipzig in the Champions League in midweek. Everton also played in midweek so they won’t have the fitness advantage, which makes Liverpool the favourites at Anfield.

 

Mo Salah (12.6m) is the obvious player pick in this one. The league’s top scorer scored again in Europe and he is likely to seriously test Ben Godfrey, should the youngster start at left-back again. It is Trent Alexander-Arnold (7.4m) however who we’ll single out for consideration in GW25. The Liverpool right-back is showing clear signs of returning to his best form of late – just two defenders have had a higher xA figure than the England international in the last three gameweeks. Expect the Scouser to rise to the occasion in this Merseyside derby.

 

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (7.7m) is meanwhile expected to return from injury in time to make the short trip to Anfield. Despite performing solidly in midweek, the defensive duo of Jordan Henderson and Ozan Kabak remains an area that Everton are likely to target with direct crosses into the box on Saturday. Calvert-Lewin could certainly get some joy in GW25, should he be ready to start.

 

Player pick – Trent Alexander-Arnold

 

 

 

Fulham vs Sheffield United

Saturday 20th February 20:00

 

Fulham are unbeaten in three after their 1-1 draw at Burnley last match and now sit just six points behind Newcastle. As ever, scoring goals is Scott Parker’s main headache, but the emergence of Josh Maja (5.5m) could be a remedy in the coming gameweeks.

 

Only Chelsea, Manchester City and Brighton have kept more clean sheets than Fulham since GW20 and another defensive return is entirely possible this weekend, against a goal-shy Sheffield United side. The Blades have failed to score in four of their last five on their travels, so the likes of Tosin Adarabioyo (4.5m) and Joachim Andersen (4.5m)are great shouts for GW25. The latter even picked up a cheeky assist in Fulham’s last outing.

 

Avoid any Sheffield United assets like the plague – they rarely score and rarely keep a clean sheet.

 

Player pick – Joachim Andersen

 

West Ham vs Tottenham

Sunday 21st February 12:00

 

West Ham proved that they don’t need Michail Antonio to score goals in GW24, as they cantered to a comfortable 3-0 win over Sheffield United. They will be tested more rigorously against Tottenham, but the Hammers come into this one as the probable favourites with Spurs currently out-of-sorts.

 

Jesse Lingard (6.0m) continued his fantastic start to life in East London in GW24. His assist made it three returns in three games and his energy is likely to threaten a Tottenham side who are likely to be fatigued after playing in the Europa League on Thursday night. It may be best to avoid West Ham assets for now however, with tricky fixtures coming up against Manchester City, Manchester United and Arsenal.

 

As for Spurs, they are likely to welcome back Harry Kane (11.0m) to the starting line-up after the talismanic forward was rested in midweek. Tottenham are likely to have a double gameweek in GW26 and also aren’t affected by the blank gameweek in GW29 – so it’d be wise to invest in a Spurs asset in the coming weeks. Kane is the pick of the bunch.

 

Player pick – Harry Kane

 

Aston Villa vs Leicester

Sunday 21st February 14:05

 

Aston Villa had Emi Martinez (5.3m) to thank for their goalless draw with Brighton in GW24. The Argentine goalkeeper made nine saves and, for the umpteenth time, earned all three bonus points. Leicester will be encouraged by their encouraging 3-1 win against Liverpool, but they were disappointing in their European fixture on Thursday night.

 

Villa have been overperforming defensively of late and their reliance on Martinez is likely to cost them soon. Jamie Vardy (10.1m), James Maddison (7.3m) and Harvey Barnes (6.8m) are unlikely to be as wasteful as Brighton’s forwards were, so expect at least one of them to grab a goal at Villa Park. Vardy was withdrawn early in midweek, so he is guaranteed to start on Sunday.

 

As for Villa, they have three games to be rescheduled in the coming weeks, so their players are likely to have some double gameweeks in the coming month or two. Ollie Watkins (6.5m) is a reliable source of goals, but it’s the Foxes who are the safer bet this week, especially as Brendan Rodgers’ men tend to be better away from home.

 

Player pick – Jamie Vardy

 

Arsenal vs Manchester City

Sunday 21st February 16:30

 

Arsenal managed to withstand a late Leeds onslaught in GW24, as they held on to secure all three points in a 4-2 win. Could Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (11.3m) return to the forefront of FPL managers’ thinking in the coming weeks after his impressive hat-trick?

 

Manchester City remain at their imperious best and they have now won 12 in a row. It would be unwise to bring in any Arsenal players as they prepare to face what is by far the league’s best team at present.

 

Pep roulette is likely to strike several times in the coming weeks, with a hectic schedule ahead for City. But the returning Kevin de Bruyne (11.8m) is likely to be handed a start this weekend, who is now owned by just 10.4% of managers. The Belgian is now a great differential, especially with doubts over Ilkay Gundogan’s fitness this weekend.

 

Player pick – Kevin de Bruyne

 

Manchester United vs Newcastle

Sunday 21st February 19:00

 

Manchester United shared a shock 1-1 draw with minnows West Brom in GW24, although talisman Bruno Fernandes (11.6m) still managed to score to please his hordes of owners. The Portuguese wizard also scored twice in a midweek 4-0 win against Real Sociedad, so the midfield maestro is in fine form heading into this one.

 

Only three teams have conceded more than Newcastle so far this season, so Manchester United attackers are great options in GW25, and even possible captaincy picks – despite Leeds and Southampton enjoying a double gameweek. Bruno is the pick of the bunch, but Anthony Martial (8.7m) and Mason Greenwood (7.0m) are also good options, with Edinson Cavani ruled out.

 

Player pick – Bruno Fernandes

 

Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Monday 22nd February 20:00

 

Monday Night Football will probably be slightly underwhelming this week, as the world’s most spurious derby match takes centre stage. Brighton are unbeaten in six and they will look to go level on points with Palace with a win in GW25.

 

The Seagulls have kept five clean sheets in their last six, so their defensive assets look like great picks this gameweek. This is made even more true by the absence of Wilfred Zaha – Palace have failed to score in their last two games without their talismanic forward.

 

Tariq Lamptey is still injured so Joel Veltman (4.3m) is an intriguing pick for this one, particularly at his budget price. The Dutchman is always looking to get forward and he is likely to cause an ageing Patrick Van Aanholt plenty of problems, should his compatriot get the nod ahead of Tyrick Mitchell at left-back.

 

Player pick – Joel Veltman

 

 

Best of luck for gameweek 25 FPL managers!

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