We are aproaching a pivotal and exciting time in the FPL calendar. There are lots of re-arranged fixtures incoming and with blank and double gameweeks comes the opportunity to make some serious gains and rise up the ranks. Below are a few differentials that have been picked out to help you hit those green arrows.
First of all, if you havent seen this graphic, or havent heard of @BenCrellin, where on earth have you been?! The image below is Ben's, and at the time of writing (Monday 15th February), outlines the likelihood of double and blank gameweeks for each team.
- Robert Sanchez - £4.5m ; 2.5% TSB
- Over the last 6 GW's, Brighton have really impressed defensively, they are second to Manchester City on key underlying defensive stats and have only conceded 4 big chances in this time. They have kept 5 clean sheets in this period and despite no *predicted* double game weeks on the horizon, they do have a favourable run of fixtures and play in BGW29 too.
- Luke Shaw - £5.0m ; 7.3%
- Luke Shaw has been in brilliant form recently and has been posting impressing underlying stats for a while. He has finally been delivering on this over the last 6 GW's. In this period, Shaw is top of most attacking metrics for defenders, including key passes (18), big chances created (4), expected (2.28) and actual assists (4) in this period. With Newcastle up immediately without Callum Wilson, and then a double in GW26, Shaw is someone I would strongly urge to consider on a wildcard.
- Ezri Konsa - £4.6m ; 5.0% TSB
- Ezri Konsa could be a cheap way into the Villa defence for their upcoming schedule. Villa potentially have three double gameweeks coming up and play in in BGW29 too. On the eye test, Konsa is a threat from set pieces and has scored 2 league goals this campaign, combine this with the fact that over the last 6 GW's, Aston Villa have kept 4 clean sheets, and Konsa could provide a cheap, low owned way into that Villa defence.
- Oleksandr Zinchenko - £5.5m ; 0.6% TSB
- Don't laugh, but... Zinchenko has quietly become a regular starter for City. He has started 9 of their last 10 league games and so he could be a huge differential way into the best defensive team in the league.
- James Ward-Prowse - £6.0m ; 7.7% TSB
- Conscious that Southampton aren't really firing on all cyclindrs at the moment, for the brave amongst you looking to take advantage of teams with extra potential fixtures, I have included JWP. JWP is arguably the best dead ball specialist in the league and with extra fixtures comes the extra chance for another wonder free-kick from him.
- Harvey Barnes - £6.8m ; 7.5% TSB
- One of my favourite assets and someone I'm looking to get into my own team. Leicester are in great form and are likely to double in GW26. Over the last 6 GW's, Barnes is 4th amongst all midfielders for NPxG was (2.41) and shots in the box (12). He has scored 3 goals in this period and coming of the back of a double digit haul against the reigning champions, I'm confident that he will continue to get on the scoresheet in the weeks to come, just hopefully not against my own team (Arsenal)!
- Raphinia - £5.3m ; 3.2% TSB
- In my opinion, Raphinia is a captaincy candidate this week for their double against Wolves and Southampton. Leeds have the immediate double gameweek and also play in BGW29 and Raphinia would be in my team if I was wildcarding right now. Over the last 6 GW's, Raphinia is third for NPxG (1.88) of all non-premium (sub £10m) midfielders and is Leeds' highest FPL points scorer since his full debut in GW9. At his price and such low ownership, it's hard to look past him.
- Edinson Cavani - £8.0m ; 6.4% TSB
- If you are on a wildcard and fancy at least a one week punt I would look no further than Edinson Cavani. Cavani has registered an impressive 0.57 NPxG per 90 mins this season and seems to have the nod over Martial at the moment. Manchester United are up against a Newcastle team who are registering 1.61 xGC per 90 mins over the season and so Cavani could be a nice one week punt before the doubles kick in.
- Josh Maja - £5.5m ; 0.3% TSB
- Fulham look to have found the focal point of their attack. They have been impressively as a team recently and over the last 6 GW's have registered 12 big chances and an xG of 8.56 but have only scored 5 goals. Maja impressed on his full debut with two goals and will be hoping to finish some of the chances that Fulham are creating. He could be a nice enabler on a wildcard as an 8th attacker and Fulham also have a fixture in BGW29 too.
Good luck to those on wildcard, let me know if you have picked any of the above.